Monday 3 23 20 morning call

Found my phone, thanks Zack.
First day of closed county beach parks, getting in the water might require trespassing a gate in some spots. One wonders if that is going to be considered a felony, in the end surfers are not there to congregate, they’re there to surf, which should not increase the risk of disease spreading. We’ll find out, I guess.

The other question that arises is: when are they going to re-open? Obviously nobody can tell, but everybody can guess. My guess is in a month, but I was by far the most optimistic of the bunch of friends I asked yesterday.

Photo of the day: I rarely photograph this wave, but I surf it quite a bit.

6am significant buoy readings and discussion
South shore
1.7ft @ 15s from 220° (SW)

Decent amount of long period SW energy at Lanai, check the Lahaina
webcam if interested. This is a head high set at Breakwall, but there’s not many of them and I see the onshores picking up already, so do check it yourself before going. It seems empty, but there’s actually people in the water, which is a good sign: surfing over there seems to be still allowed.

Below is the collage of the maps of Mar 16 to 21. I put an arrow on the small SW fetch on the first map, which I believe is responsible for the energy at Lanai and the waves in Lahaina, but that’s only the start of a whole week of waves. As you can see (click on the image to enlarge it), in fact, there were southerly fetches every single day. I’m expecting to see even longer period and more south energy tomorrow, coming from the fetches E of New Zealand that you can see on the following maps.

Unfortunately, the whole week is also going to have strong trades, which will mess with the conditions on the other side too (most noticeably at Ukumehame, but not only).

North shore
5.4ft @ 12s from 283° (WNW)

5ft @ 13s from 306° (WNW)

3.5ft @ 13s from 307° (WNW)

5ft @ 8s from 55° (ENE)

5ft @ 7s from 60° (ENE)

3.1ft @ 13s from 323° (NW)

WNW swell winding down and already smaller than the rising short period ENE energy at Pauwela. Hookipa will have blown out waves (possibly head high plus) of poor quality. It’s going to be a poor week for surfing on the north shore.

Wind map at noon (the other ones can be found at link n.-2 of GP’s meteo websites list in the right column).

The poor wave generation continues in the North Pacific, there’s only a weak ENE windswell fetch.

South Pacific instead continues to compensate. We’re lucky with this timing.

Morning sky.